Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.229182 0.265145 0.304861 0.351973 0.406339 0.467116 0.540234
2025-10-12 0.175769 0.224912 0.284782 0.363082 0.462823 0.585703 0.748746
2025-10-19 0.146559 0.201112 0.272250 0.371801 0.507595 0.686528 0.940601
2025-10-26 0.125012 0.181629 0.259676 0.375101 0.541596 0.773356 1.121159
2025-11-02 0.106812 0.163071 0.244451 0.370715 0.561885 0.840942 1.280295
2025-11-09 0.090660 0.144698 0.226312 0.358498 0.567506 0.885862 1.409075
2025-11-16 0.082253 0.136709 0.222253 0.366339 0.603354 0.978635 1.620011
2025-11-23 0.074105 0.127881 0.215493 0.368521 0.629637 1.058190 1.817641
2025-11-30 0.067901 0.121363 0.211484 0.374328 0.661871 1.149889 2.044502
2025-12-07 0.060396 0.111594 0.200722 0.367023 0.670327 1.201657 2.207325
2025-12-14 0.054382 0.103699 0.192216 0.362484 0.682698 1.260754 2.388563
2025-12-21 0.050392 0.099018 0.188873 0.366800 0.711337 1.351336 2.636579
2025-12-28 0.048541 0.098278 0.192889 0.385727 0.770166 1.504906 3.023463
2026-01-04 0.045993 0.095878 0.193491 0.398135 0.817856 1.642598 3.395650
2026-01-11 0.043373 0.092994 0.192766 0.407690 0.860696 1.774917 3.771293
2026-01-18 0.040412 0.089028 0.189386 0.411308 0.891561 1.886067 4.115062
2026-01-25 0.036976 0.083631 0.182422 0.406500 0.903963 1.960138 4.387829
2026-02-01 0.033177 0.076982 0.172062 0.393107 0.896167 1.990418 4.568012
2026-02-08 0.031538 0.075008 0.171638 0.401703 0.937978 2.132072 5.012136
2026-02-15 0.029569 0.072035 0.168656 0.404095 0.965840 2.245433 5.403556
2026-02-22 0.028050 0.069948 0.167453 0.410461 1.003533 2.384654 5.870357
2026-03-01 0.025720 0.065624 0.160563 0.402453 1.006036 2.442366 6.147596
2026-03-08 0.023795 0.062082 0.155161 0.397477 1.015340 2.517000 6.474317